在英美經(jīng)貿(mào)報刊中,關(guān)于國際經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易發(fā)展和預(yù)測其發(fā)展趨勢的文章占據(jù)相當(dāng)大的比重。這些文章除在內(nèi)容上具有涉及范圍廣泛的特點外,在文章的表達(dá)方式上也具有鮮明的特點。比如,有關(guān)國際經(jīng)貿(mào)發(fā)展及預(yù)測其發(fā)展趨勢的文章通常涉及各種指數(shù)的變化和比較,而這些指數(shù)變化的文字表達(dá)構(gòu)成該類文章的一大特點。掌握這些特點,無疑對迅速而準(zhǔn)確地理解文章的內(nèi)容起到十分重要的作用。
上一課我們歸納了有關(guān)經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易發(fā)展方面常用的表達(dá)方式,今天我們繼續(xù)歸納西方經(jīng)貿(mào)報刊中有關(guān)預(yù)測的表達(dá)方式。
英美經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易報刊在描寫經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易發(fā)展趨勢時經(jīng)常要根據(jù)過去,目前情況對未來表示預(yù)測,如:
A survey of leading bankers projects that job cuts in the industry will average some 90,000 jobs annually until the year 2000.
一份由主要銀行家提供的調(diào)查報告預(yù)計,到2000年,工業(yè)方面每年將大約削減9萬份工作。
On the other hand, unemployment is expected to rise everywhere, to the highest level known since the Korean war.
另一方面,失業(yè)人數(shù)預(yù)計會在全球范圍內(nèi)上升,達(dá)到朝鮮戰(zhàn)爭以來的最高水平。
Moreover, monetary policy cannot ignore fiscal policy. The Fed will probably want to wait and see how much near-term deficit reduction is contained in the 1996 federal budget before sanctioning another drop in rates.
此外,貨幣政策不能忽視國家的財政政策。聯(lián)邦儲備委員會很可能在批準(zhǔn)利率再度下調(diào)之前等待和觀望1996年的聯(lián)邦預(yù)算短期赤字削減為多少。
用于預(yù)測未來經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易發(fā)展趨勢的詞匯主要有:forecast, project, anticipate, expect, hope, etc.
對未來的經(jīng)濟與貿(mào)易政策和發(fā)展趨勢所作出的預(yù)測,通常有如下三種形式:1) 肯定的(certain);2) 可能性比較大的(probable);3) 只有一般可能性的(possible)。
1. 表示通貨膨脹肯定要上升時的表達(dá)方式:
Inflation will / is bound to / is certain to / is about to / will certainly / will surely / will definitely / will no doubt increase.
(It is certain that inflation will increase.)
2. 表示通貨膨脹很有可能要上升的表達(dá)方式:
Inflation is likely to / should / would / will probably increase.
(It is probable that inflation will increase.)
3. 表示通貨膨脹只是一般有可能上升的表達(dá)方式:
Inflation may / will possibly / might / could increase.
(It is possible that inflation will increase.)
西方報刊中,表示經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易狀況及預(yù)測未來發(fā)展趨勢的詞匯很多,除以上提到的動詞機構(gòu)外,還有名詞、形容詞。另外,掌握固定的前置詞結(jié)構(gòu),對準(zhǔn)確把握和理解經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易發(fā)展變化的程度也很有幫助。
常與百分比搭配使用的固定前置詞有:
to grow / to fall / to increase / to rise / to cut / to go down / to drop by 5%
to run at a rate of 5%
to slow down from 10% to 5%
to increase from a 5% average to a 6% average
與時間、地點一同搭配的前置詞結(jié)構(gòu)有:
in the last decade
over the past ten years
between 1996 and 2006s
between 2004-2006
during the last decade
in 2006
in 2005-2006
since 2000
before the end of the year / decade / century
the the year 2006
in USA
in Europe